265-280 additional violent deaths recorded at Baghdad morgue
|Type||deaths from gunfire, explosions, etc., - 'excludes trauma deaths from accidents'|
|Targeted or hit|
|Place||Violent deaths recorded at the Baghdad city morgue|
|Date||1 May 2003 - 31 May 2003|
|Sources||NYT 16 Sep 2003
AP 24 May 2004
This database entry is based on information provided by staff of the Baghdad city morgue covering the period April 14th to August 31st 2003.
The morgue is said to record some 90% of "violent, suspicious" deaths in the city. Currently about 60% and above of these deaths are the result of gunshot wounds; this compares to approximately 10% pre-war. People killed by coalition forces amount to an estimated 15-20% of gunshot victims brought to the morgue according to a Newsweek report [Aug 18 2003], but most of the violence is Iraqi-on-Iraqi.
The media reports from which x132's numbers are compiled are those which contain exact totals tied to specific periods. We excluded reports offering only "snapshot" daily or weekly rates, or any totals apparently based on simplistic extrapolations without an appreciation that such rates can fluctuate over time (see below). As in all our work, two media reports were needed to verify numbers for inclusion in the count, but the measures referred to above ultimately reduced contributing reports from 20 or more to 7, and the potential number of deaths (before adjustments) from over 4,000 to 2,846.
This total of 2,846 was then adjusted in two ways.
First, pre-occupation rates for comparable deaths were deducted based on information for the equivalent month in 2002 and when this was unavailable, as derived from an average for the entire year. What we publish is therefore an estimate of additional deaths in the city directly attributable to the breakdown of law and order following the US occupation of Baghdad.
This adjustment yielded a total of 1,519 deaths in Baghdad, April 14th to August 31st, over and above the normal "background level" of violent deaths in the city.
Second, as in all our database entries, confirmed and potential overlaps with other, already published incidents in Baghdad during the relevant period have been subtracted from the current entry. For an example of how IBC does this, please consult the Notes accompanying x073. This final reduction merely reflects the fact that IBC has already published some of these deaths, and therefore cannot now add the 1,519 figure in full to its database: it does not affect this morgue-derived total except in terms of its possible distribution among existing IBC entries.
The detailed reports show that the death totals have been rising month by month. Future data entries for September 2003 and beyond should provide a better overview of these trends. The latest reports suggest that having doubled between May and August, the death rate is still rising.
A discussion of some related issues can be found in our 23rd September press release.
Individuals for whom personal or identifying details were reported
|IBC page||Identifying details (number if more than one)||Age||Sex|
|x132b-nk147||Cousin of Taha Kudair||62||Male|
Individuals for whom only demographic or other non-personal information was reported